A few days ago, the Israeli, Emirati and Bahraini navies held their first joint military exercise in the Red Sea.
The exercise follows a military exercise last month at the airport north of the Israeli port city of Elat. Fighter jets from Israel and seven other countries were seen flying overhead.
The purpose of the exercises is to issue a strong warning to Iran, which has recently had its own major military exercises, and to demonstrate its strong strategic partnership.
The Israeli government has set aside $ 1.5 billion for a possible attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Daily warnings are being issued by political and military leaders.
Analysts and analysts have commented on what could happen in Iran.
“Israel has no interest in waging war with Iran. However, we will not allow Iran to use nuclear weapons. We are preparing for all options, including military capabilities, along with Iran’s nuclear program,” an Israeli security official said.
Negotiations are set to begin on November 29 between the Austrian capital, Vienna, Iran, and the five world powers (indirectly the United States) to resume the 2015 nuclear deal. .
The agreement not only restricts Iran’s nuclear activities, but also opens the site for inspections and partially lifts international sanctions. However, in 2018, when US President Donald Trump canceled the deal, he received Israeli approval.
Iran says it has enriched 25 kilograms of uranium after a new round of talks. This is 60 percent higher than the standard required for a nuclear bomb. She also said that she has improved over 200 pounds [210 kg] by 20 percent.
Tehran says it will use nuclear weapons for peaceful purposes. Iranian experts also point out that enriched uranium was previously held only by nuclear-armed states.
“Today, Iranians are closer than ever to developing nuclear weapons. This fact has a strong security message for the Israeli government,” the Israeli security official said.
The Israeli Defense Ministry estimates that Iran could store enough uranium for a nuclear weapon within a month if it decides to do so.
To build such a device would also require the development of a ballistic missile. Although it is difficult to calculate the time required, some experts say that it can take 18 to 24 months.
Israel considers Iran’s nuclear program a threat, according to Israel, which has an ambiguous policy at the government and assumes its own nuclear weapons. Iran, for its part, does not recognize the state of Israel.
The United States and the Gulf Arab states, which have growing ties with Israel, have strongly opposed Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons. It is unclear, however, how much support they may have in a military conflict.
Former Israeli National Security Adviser to the Jerusalem Institute of Strategy and Security Yakub Amidror has been expressing concern over Iran’s nuclear program since the early 1990s.
They also reviewed recent developments.
“Israel does not live in a situation where the Iranians are approaching the bombing. Therefore, a decision must be made soon on how to stop it,” he said.
“I have no choice but to attack,” he said.
Israel has twice tried alone to destroy its enemy’s nuclear facilities, in 1981 in Iraq and in 2007 in Syria.
But many analysts have called for a successful operation to halt Iran’s advanced nuclear program. This is because of the fact that they include multiple sites in different areas and in the ground, so they ask about the cost.
“Everyone in Israel knows that [an attack] could lead to a complex war,” Amidror said.
Iran, for its part, has promised a “shocking response” to such attacks. In addition to using her own strength, she is expected to carry out a coordinated attack with her armed comrades scattered throughout the area.
Hezbollah in Lebanon with tens of thousands of rockets, Shiite militias in Syria and Iraq, Huthi rebels in Yemen and jihadists in the Gaza Strip could join it.
Some Israeli military experts have speculated that the attack could have significant consequences, even if it means delaying Iran’s nuclear program for a few years.
The alternative, however, is to expand peaceful negotiations.
“I hope the diplomatic process succeeds, but it does not give him a great chance,” said Sima Shin, a former Mossad spy chief.
The administration of US President Joe Biden has called on Iran to return to the deal, but the Israeli government has refused.
The deal will put several restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program until 2025. It does not impose sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile program. It has not stopped its support for local militias.
“My assessment of Iran’s position is that you do not want to go back,” said Shin, now head of the Iranian program at the National Institute for National Security Studies in Israel.
“Of course they want to see sanctions relaxed. They understand they have to pay something to get it. The question is what is Iran’s calculation? How much does the economy need relief?” They ask.
They fear that the nuclear talks could be a time-out for the country’s growing enriched uranium reserves.
Alex Vatican, an Iranian researcher at the Middle East Institute in Washington, emphasized Tehran’s deep ideological commitment to its nuclear program.
Although they do not trust Europeans and Americans, they believe they want to return to the conversation to ease domestic pressures. Her current actions and questions are seen as “strengthening her hand.”
Vatican says Iran does not necessarily need nuclear weapons.
“This is an option they want to have. But it is not a matter of weapons,” he said.
“The issue is that Iran is an important nuclear power and it shows the United States that there will be no change in the regime,” he said.
Israel’s threat of attack does not convince them.
“They have proven that they can do this. Iran has infiltrated very, very clearly.
Ten years ago, the United States and Israel launched a joint venture to disrupt Iran’s nuclear program using the Stuartnet computer virus.
Iran has blamed Israel for the recent assassination of senior nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakrizadeh near Tehran and a series of explosions at its nuclear facilities.
Israel has used what it calls “war between wars” and hundreds of military strikes to disrupt Iran’s activities in neighboring Syria and target Hezbollah.
Fear of expansion
There are many differences between experts regarding what will happen next. There is widespread agreement that recent talks on Iran’s nuclear program have come at a crucial time and that the threat of war in the region is unlikely to increase.
If Iran develops its own nuclear arsenal, countries such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt may follow suit.
Washington has said it wants to end the “eternal war” in the Middle East. As for Iran, it warns it will look to “other options.”
At the end of a recent Israeli air exercise, a US drone carrying an American submarine was escorted by two Israeli fighter jets through Israeli airspace.